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Kamala Harris would overtain Biden in a hypothetical electoral duel against Trump

The vice president of the United States, Kamala Harris, hoards a greater voting intention than the current president, Joe Biden, in case she was the one who faced former President Donald Trump in the November elections, in which the Republican is in the lead in both cases.

A poll exposed by CNN points out that if the situation remains as it was until now, with a duel between Biden and Trump, 49% of voters would give their confidence to the Republican and 43% to the Democrat.

In the event that the candidate was Harris, 47% say they would vote for Trump and 45% for her.

That margin of difference, according to the channel, is narrow enough to think that in that scenario “there is no clear leader.”

Harris’ support lies in part in greater support from women and independent voters: half of the voters would bet on Harris, compared to 44% who would opt for Trump, and among the independents the vice president surpasses the Republican pre-candidate by nine percentage points difference.

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The conversation around a new Democratic figure has taken shape after Biden’s weak performance in the debate on June 27, in which he was seen hesitant, without finishing some sentences and without countering Trump’s hoaxes.

Since then, other democratic names have begun to emerge as alternatives, although no one has taken the step.

If he were the governor of California, Gavin Newsom, Trump would have 48% of the voting intentions and Newsom would have 43. With the governor of Michigan, Gretchen Whitmer, there are also five points of difference, in that hypothesis by 47 against 43%.

In general, according to the CNN poll, voters prefer any other Democratic candidate instead of Biden.

75% believe that that party would have better chances on November 5 if the nominee were not the current president.

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In the case of those who identify themselves as democrats, the opinion that an alternative would be better also prevails. 56% estimate that the party would do better with another candidate, compared to 43% who continue to defend Biden.

The president has said that he does not plan to retire: “I would not show up again if I did not believe with all my heart and soul that I can do the job. There is too much at stake,” he said a day after his face-to-face with Trump, which took place at CNN headquarters in Atlanta.

Trump, for his part, maintains the favor of his electorate. 83% of Republicans believe that the conservative party will do better in November with him as a candidate, 11 percentage points more than those who thought it in January.

CNN emphasizes that, despite the former president’s advantage in the polls, the opinion about him in general remains low.

39% have a good rating and 54% a bad one, percentages similar to those expressed last fall.

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International

Authorities capture CJNG financial chief in international airport operation

A man identified as the main financial operator of the powerful Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) was arrested Thursday at Mexico City’s international airport, authorities reported.

The individual, named by Mexican media as Óscar Antonio Álvarez, was apprehended during an operation involving the army, navy, National Guard, police, and the attorney general’s office, according to a joint statement.

Álvarez is considered the primary financial operator of a criminal group originating in Jalisco, and the capture took place at Benito Juárez Airport as he arrived on a flight from Barcelona, Spain.

Authorities stated that Álvarez faces charges of organized crime and money laundering, specifically for receiving and transferring illicit funds. His work with the CJNG reportedly included purchasing properties and managing businesses in the tequila and livestock sectors.

According to El Universal, Álvarez was directly under the command of Rubén Oseguera Cervantes, “El Mencho”, the cartel’s top leader, for whom the U.S. offers a $15 million reward.

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The CJNG, which operates throughout Mexico and in various parts of the world, was designated earlier this year as a “foreign terrorist organization” by the U.S. government.

Álvarez was handed over to the federal public prosecutor to determine his legal situation, the report added.

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International

Jair Bolsonaro sentenced for leading armed criminal plot after 2022 election loss

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, 70, has been sentenced for leading an armed criminal organization that attempted to cling to power after losing the 2022 elections to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

The alleged coup plot, which reportedly included a plan to assassinate Lula, was not carried out due to lack of support from the military leadership.

By a four-to-one vote of the judges overseeing the case, seven co-defendants, including former ministers and military chiefs, were also convicted.

“A criminal armed organization was formed by the defendants, who must be sentenced based on the factual circumstances I consider proven,” said the final judge to cast a vote, Cristiano Zanin.

Bolsonaro, who has been under house arrest since August, did not attend the court hearings, citing health issues.

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Reacting on X, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the former president’s son, said: “They call this a trial a process whose outcome everyone already knew before it began.”

One of the first international reactions came from the White House. Former U.S. President Donald Trump called the sentence “very surprising,” while Senator Marco Rubio, U.S. Secretary of State, stated that the United States will “respond accordingly” to the “unjust” ruling.

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International

Poland invokes NATO Article 4 after russian drone incursion

The violation of Polish airspace by Russian drones on Wednesday triggered the most serious clash between Russia and NATO since the start of the war in Ukraine, prompting Poland to invoke Article 4 of the NATO Treaty, which calls for consultations among allies.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk addressed Parliament on Wednesday, describing an unprecedented “aggression” in which at least 19 Russian drones breached Polish airspace, creating a situation that the Prime Minister described as “the closest to an open conflict since World War II.”

Speaking at the start of an extraordinary Council of Ministers session, Tusk stated that “this is the first time Russian drones have been shot down over the territory of a NATO member state, and that is why all our allies are taking the situation very seriously.”

Although he affirmed that “there is no reason to claim that we are in a state of war,” he labeled the incidents as “a large-scale provocation” and ordered the invocation of NATO’s Article 4 to call for consultations with allied nations.

Tusk also noted on X (formerly Twitter) that he had received “not only expressions of solidarity with Poland but, above all, concrete proposals to support the country’s air defense” during discussions with European leaders throughout the day.

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The Polish leader specifically mentioned conversations with the leaders of the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, and the Netherlands—Keir Starmer, Giorgia Meloni, Friedrich Merz, and Dick Schoof—along with French President Emmanuel Macron, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg.

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