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What will the second round of Ecuador’s elections be like?

What will the second round of Ecuador's elections be like?
Photo: EFE

October 13 |

Next Sunday, October 15, the presidential candidate of Revolución Ciudadana (RC), Luisa González, and the candidate of the coalition Acción Democrática Nacional (ADN), Daniel Noboa, will face each other in the second round of the early elections in Ecuador.

More than 13 million Ecuadorians will go to the polls to choose who will be their president. This is the second round of voting after in the first round held last August 20 none of the candidates achieved a simple majority of 50 percent plus one.

The winner will succeed Guillermo Lasso and will finish the presidential term 2021-2025, due to the fact that, in May 2023, the current president decreed the dissolution of the National Assembly at the same time as the end of his presidential term, a mechanism called “muerte cruzada”, which allows calling for early general elections.

Daniel Noboa, 35, is a businessman and son of Alvaro Noboa, who was a presidential candidate on several occasions. Noboa seeks to create tax incentives and tax exemptions for new businesses. In terms of security, he wants to strengthen the judicial system, combat cyber crimes and improve the prison system.

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The candidate of former President Rafael Correa’s party, Luisa Gonzalez, 45, became the first woman to obtain such a significant percentage in the first round of presidential elections with 33 percent of the votes in her favor, she advocates fighting crime, corruption and strengthening the judiciary.

Several pollsters authorized by the National Electoral Council (CNE) have presented their latest figures to the population.

The company Comunicaliza indicates that 41.5 percent of the Ecuadorians consulted would opt for Daniel Noboa. While the candidate Luisa Gonzalez, obtains 36.4 percent. In addition, 12.4 percent are still undecided as to who they will vote for, while 9.7 percent will decide to vote blank or null.

According to the results of the pollster Telcodata, the representative of Alianza Democrática would have 36.7 percent, while the candidate of the Revolución Ciudadana movement would have 36.4 percent. Although everything would be decided by those who still do not know for whom they will vote, since this group represents 15.9 percent.

Another pollster called Negocios & Estrategias places Noboa in first place with 39 percent, but Gonzalez with 38.63 percent, which reflects the tightness of this second round. And 17.07 percent still have not decided for whom they will vote.

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In Ecuador voting is mandatory for the majority of the population. Voting is imperative for citizens between 18 and 65 years of age, for young people between 16 and 17 years of age and for active duty members of the Police and Armed Forces.

In the event that any person fails to comply with his obligation to participate in the elections, a fine of 10 percent of the minimum wage will be imposed. Persons over 65 years of age, health professionals working on election day, if they were sick, disabled, had a domestic calamity, were involved in a traffic accident or if they were out of the country will be exempted from paying the fine.

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International

Mexico and Guatemala Agree on Five-Point Binational Plan for 2027

Mexico and Guatemala agreed Tuesday on a 2027 Binational Plan built around five areas of cooperation, along with a schedule of meetings and initiatives aimed at making progress by the end of 2026 on security, border infrastructure, human mobility, development and technical and social cooperation.

The agreement was announced by the foreign ministers of both countries following a meeting in Mexico City.

Mexican Foreign Minister Roberto Velasco said the plan will establish the “direction and priorities” of bilateral relations for next year. His Guatemalan counterpart, Carlos Ramiro Martínez, said the meeting allowed both governments to make decisions, schedule activities and revitalize bilateral cooperation mechanisms.

Security and border infrastructure

In the area of security, the two governments have nearly completed negotiations on a new memorandum of understanding for the Mexico-Guatemala High-Level Security Group (Ganseg), which was reactivated in 2025.

The countries expect to sign the agreement in the coming months to strengthen coordination and their ability to respond to shared security threats.

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Regarding their nearly 1,000-kilometer shared border, Mexico and Guatemala agreed to advance infrastructure improvements at border crossings and continue work on a joint cargo clearance program between Ciudad Hidalgo and Tecún Umán, two border areas separated by the Suchiate River.

The measures are intended to facilitate bilateral trade while making cross-border exchanges safer and more efficient.

The two governments will also continue defining a route toward a railway connection between their countries through Line K of Mexico’s Interoceanic Corridor of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec (CIIT), with the aim of strengthening economic and community ties.

Migration and development

On human mobility, Mexico and Guatemala will maintain coordination to ensure safe, orderly and dignified returns, while strengthening protection for people in transit.

The bilateral agenda also includes a second phase of the Sembrando Vida program in Guatemala, which is expected to benefit 10,000 people across 15 departments.

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Both countries will also advance initiatives under Juntos para el Bienestar, as well as six technical, scientific and energy cooperation projects approved by the Joint Commission.

The agreements seek to strengthen bilateral ties and establish concrete priorities for cooperation between Mexico and Guatemala during 2027.

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International

France to Expel Two Iranian Diplomats Over Alleged Attack on French Officials

French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot announced Tuesday, August 18, 2026, that France will expel two Iranian diplomats in response to what Paris described as an attack on two French representatives in Iran last month.

“Two French diplomats were scandalously and deliberately assaulted on July 19. I had announced that this intolerable act would have consequences. It has now happened. Two Iranian diplomats in France will be expelled in the coming days,” Barrot said in a message posted on X.

The two Iranian diplomats have been declared persona non grata and will be required to leave France within the coming days, according to the French foreign minister.

About a month ago, Barrot said that two members of the French diplomatic staff had been detained by Iranian security forces for several hours. One of them was also subjected to harassment, he said.

The French government described the incident as an “extremely serious act of intimidation” that violated diplomatic immunity.

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The two French embassy staff members were working on programs supporting Iranian civil society, particularly initiatives involving artists and researchers.

Iran has denied France’s allegations regarding the incident. The diplomatic dispute comes amid already strained relations between Paris and Tehran.

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International

Heat wave puts more than 70 million Americans under alerts as temperatures near 46°C

36 deaths reported due to heat wave in Nuevo Leon, Mexico

More than 70 million people remained under heat alerts Monday as an intense heat wave continued across the southern United States, particularly Florida and states along the Mexican border, where temperatures and heat indexes could reach as high as 46 degrees Celsius, according to the National Weather Service (NWS).

Several cities recorded or tied temperature records over the weekend and into Monday, including Miami and Fort Lauderdale in Florida; Laredo, Borger and Austin’s airport in Texas; Atlanta, Georgia; Raleigh and Charlotte, North Carolina; and Memphis, Tennessee.

The NWS warned that the heat wave will continue affecting the southern and southeastern United States, with maximum temperatures expected to remain near 38°C to 40°C for several days. The heat index, which combines temperature and humidity to estimate how hot conditions feel, could reach 46°C.

The extreme heat is also spreading into the Southwest, where temperatures began rising again between Monday and Tuesday. Forecast highs in the region range from about 38°C to 43°C.

Heat alerts remain in effect across Nevada, Arizona and California, including areas in southern Arizona and California near the Mexican border, as authorities warn of the risks posed by prolonged extreme temperatures.

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The NWS urged residents to limit outdoor activity, stay hydrated, ensure access to air conditioning or cooling centers, and check on vulnerable friends, neighbors and family members.

The United States is experiencing a summer marked by above-average temperatures and repeated heat waves. One of the most intense episodes occurred during the July 4 weekend, when extreme heat was blamed for roughly 30 deaths.

July was the hottest month ever recorded in the United States since measurements began, with the average temperature across the contiguous country approaching 25°C, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The combination of extreme heat and drought conditions has also fueled wildfires. Nearly 3 million hectares have burned across the country so far in 2026, making it the largest area affected by wildfires in a decade.

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