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Justin Trudeau’s star goes out among the Canadian population and his own party

After 10 years in power, Justin Trudeau’s star is dying at high speed: the electorate has turned their backs on him and, within his Liberal Party, more and more voices want him to resign to avoid a catastrophe in the elections scheduled for October 2025.

For months, the polls have all told the same story. Justin Trudeau is an unpopular prime minister and the Liberal Party is heading for a painful loss in the upcoming general election that may relegate him to third place in the lower house of Parliament.

What do the polls say?

The average of polls currently places the Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, with 42.5% of voting intention, while Trudeau’s Liberal Party is 19 points below, with 23.2%.

And what is worse for the critical voices within the Liberal Party, the lack of ideas and the immobility of the Justin Trudeau Government in the face of the problems that afflict the country anticipate that the next few months more Canadian will turn their backs on them.

Some even fear that the situation experienced in the 2008 elections will be reproduced when the Liberal Party, then in opposition and led by the intellectual Michael Ignatieff, was reduced to 34 deputies of the 308 seats that the Lower House of Parliament then had.

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“It has been behind in the polls for some time now. That is not a huge problem when the elections are far away so the party gave Trudeau room to try to improve the situation because there was time left,” Andrew McDougall, professor of Political Science at the University of Toronto, explained to EFE.

“But now there is only one year left before the next election. So the pressure has increased and the party is getting more and more impatient,” he added.

Justin Trudeau swept the 2015 general election

Paradoxically, Justin Trudeau took the leadership of the Liberal Party after the 2008 election disaster. Son of former minister and former liberal leader Pierre Trudeau, one of the most transcendental politicians in the modern history of Canada, he met expectations and in 2015 swept the general elections, becoming the twenty-third first minister of the country.

And also, paradoxically, one of the main proposals that brought him to power in 2015 was to open the country’s borders to receive more refugees and immigrants, both for economic reasons and to recover the founding spirit of Canada as a host country.

True to his promises, one of his first acts as prime minister after winning in 2015 was to go to Toronto airport to personally receive Syrian refugees.

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Canada has changed

Ten years later, the North American country has changed. In 2015, Canada received 300,000 immigrants. Since then, the figure has not stopped growing. In 2022 there were 431,645, 16% more than in 2021. In 2023 there were 465,000. This year they will reach 485,000. From 2025, 500,000 per year.

Thanks to these migration levels, Canada is the G7 country with the highest population growth, with 2.7% per year. It is the highest level since 1957, when the explosion of post-war births and immigration placed the rate at 3.3%.

The problem for Justin Trudeau is that the country has not been able to absorb these levels of immigration. There are literally not enough housing for a population that in nine months between July 2023 and April 2024 grew by one million people.

Nor have basic services such as health care been able to keep up with the growth rate.

Trudeau acknowledged on Thursday that he was wrong and has announced that he will reduce the number of immigrants that Canada will receive by up to 27% in the next three years.

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“We didn’t get the balance right,” he agreed.

“We are going to stabilize the growth of our population so that all levels of government have time to recover, to make the necessary investments in health, housing and social services. To accommodate more people in the future,” he added.

The question now is whether he will have time to recover the aura that has kept him in power since 2015, especially within the Liberal Party.

“Trudeau insists that he is the best person to lead the party, that no one would do it better. Most politicians believe they are the best to lead their formations. So I’m not surprised that Trudeau resists leaving power,” McDougall explained.

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International

China calls for dialogue amid rising Iran-Israel conflict

The Chinese government emphasized on Monday the importance of “creating the conditions to return to the proper path of dialogue” between Iran and Israel, which have exchanged attacks in recent days resulting in more than 20 Israeli and over 220 Iranian deaths.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun expressed deep concern at a press conference over the Israeli attacks on Iran and the “sudden escalation” of the military conflict.

Guo called on all parties to “take immediate measures to ease tensions and prevent the region from descending into further turmoil,” stating that “force cannot bring lasting peace.”

“If the conflict between Israel and Iran continues to intensify or even expand, the countries of the Middle East will be the first to suffer the consequences,” he added, while noting that China “will continue to maintain communication with the relevant parties, promoting peace and dialogue.”

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke last Saturday with his Iranian and Israeli counterparts to condemn the Israeli airstrike on Iranian territory, which he described as a “violation of international law” with the potential to trigger “disastrous” consequences.

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In both calls, Wang reiterated China’s rejection of the use of force, defended diplomacy as the only solution to the Iranian nuclear dispute, and offered China’s mediation to prevent further destabilization in the Middle East.

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International

Suspect arrested in killing of Minnesota legislator and husband, governor Says

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz announced on Sunday the arrest of Vance Luther Boelter, 57, the main suspect in the killing of Democratic legislator Melissa Hortman and her husband in a Brooklyn Park suburb on Friday night.

Boelter, who also reportedly shot State Senator John Hoffman and his wife early Saturday morning, was apprehended in Sibley County following an intensive manhunt involving hundreds of law enforcement officers.

In a public statement, Governor Walz condemned Boelter’s “unthinkable actions,” which resulted in the death of a woman who “shaped the core of who we are as a state.”

“We cannot become numb to this. We are a deeply divided nation,” Walz said in a statement posted on his X account.

“We move forward not with hatred or violence, but with humility, grace, and civility,” he added.

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Expressing solidarity with the victims’ families, Walz said the entire state of Minnesota is in mourning. He also thanked law enforcement for their bravery and professionalism: “They have saved lives,” he emphasized.

“As we heal, we will not let fear win,” Walz concluded. “We must honor Melissa by moving forward with understanding, service, and above all, humanity.”

Throughout Sunday, police and sheriff units searched a rural area in Minnesota for Vance Luther Boelter, a security company director and preacher who, according to Governor Walz, acted out of politically motivated violence.

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International

40,000 tourists stranded in Israel amid airspace shutdown over Iran conflict

Approximately 40,000 tourists are stranded in Israel following the closure of the country’s airspace amid escalating hostilities with Iran, the Israeli Ministry of Tourism reported on Monday.

The ministry has set up a virtual office to provide information via email (virtual@goisrael.gov.il) and phone (+972-53-583-5808), as well as a Facebook page called Israel Virtual Tourist Office.

Israeli Tourism Minister Haim Katz is in contact with hotels and accommodations across the country to offer support to tourists in need, the ministry added.

Many stranded travelers are considering crossing overland into Jordan or Egypt to seek flights from those countries. The Israel Airports Authority reminded the public that land border crossings remain open.

Three German tourists stranded in Jerusalem told EFE today that they have not received any assistance from their country’s embassy in Israel, and their primary option currently is to cross into Jordan to catch a flight from there.

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Since early Friday morning, Israel launched operations against Iran, targeting military personnel and infrastructure, including energy and nuclear facilities, as well as numerous residential areas in Tehran.

In response, Iran has fired hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israel, some of which have struck various locations across the country, leaving at least 24 dead so far, according to Israeli authorities.

Iranian health officials report at least 224 deaths, mostly civilians, including at least 17 senior military officials—nine from the Revolutionary Guard—and more than a dozen nuclear scientists.

The Israeli military has warned that many more “targets” remain, while Iran’s Revolutionary Guard declared on Monday that it will continue missile attacks against Israel until its “destruction.”

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