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Kamala Harris would overtain Biden in a hypothetical electoral duel against Trump

The vice president of the United States, Kamala Harris, hoards a greater voting intention than the current president, Joe Biden, in case she was the one who faced former President Donald Trump in the November elections, in which the Republican is in the lead in both cases.

A poll exposed by CNN points out that if the situation remains as it was until now, with a duel between Biden and Trump, 49% of voters would give their confidence to the Republican and 43% to the Democrat.

In the event that the candidate was Harris, 47% say they would vote for Trump and 45% for her.

That margin of difference, according to the channel, is narrow enough to think that in that scenario “there is no clear leader.”

Harris’ support lies in part in greater support from women and independent voters: half of the voters would bet on Harris, compared to 44% who would opt for Trump, and among the independents the vice president surpasses the Republican pre-candidate by nine percentage points difference.

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The conversation around a new Democratic figure has taken shape after Biden’s weak performance in the debate on June 27, in which he was seen hesitant, without finishing some sentences and without countering Trump’s hoaxes.

Since then, other democratic names have begun to emerge as alternatives, although no one has taken the step.

If he were the governor of California, Gavin Newsom, Trump would have 48% of the voting intentions and Newsom would have 43. With the governor of Michigan, Gretchen Whitmer, there are also five points of difference, in that hypothesis by 47 against 43%.

In general, according to the CNN poll, voters prefer any other Democratic candidate instead of Biden.

75% believe that that party would have better chances on November 5 if the nominee were not the current president.

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In the case of those who identify themselves as democrats, the opinion that an alternative would be better also prevails. 56% estimate that the party would do better with another candidate, compared to 43% who continue to defend Biden.

The president has said that he does not plan to retire: “I would not show up again if I did not believe with all my heart and soul that I can do the job. There is too much at stake,” he said a day after his face-to-face with Trump, which took place at CNN headquarters in Atlanta.

Trump, for his part, maintains the favor of his electorate. 83% of Republicans believe that the conservative party will do better in November with him as a candidate, 11 percentage points more than those who thought it in January.

CNN emphasizes that, despite the former president’s advantage in the polls, the opinion about him in general remains low.

39% have a good rating and 54% a bad one, percentages similar to those expressed last fall.

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International

Colombia says it would not reject Maduro asylum request as regional tensions escalate

The Colombian government stated on Thursday that it would have no reason to reject a potential asylum request from Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro should he leave office, as regional tensions persist over the deployment of U.S. military forces in the Caribbean since August.

“In the current climate of tension, negotiations are necessary, and if the United States demands a transition or political change, that is something to be assessed. If such a transition results in him (Maduro) needing to live elsewhere or seek protection, Colombia would have no reason to deny it,” said Colombian Foreign Minister Rosa Villavicencio in an interview with Caracol Radio.
However, Villavicencio noted that it is unlikely Maduro would choose Colombia as a refuge. “I believe he would opt for someplace more distant and calmer,” she added.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro also commented on Venezuela’s situation on Wednesday, arguing that the country needs a “democratic revolution” rather than “inefficient repression.” His remarks followed the recent detention and passport cancellation of Cardinal Baltazar Porras at the Caracas airport.

“The Maduro government must understand that responding to external aggression requires more than military preparations; it requires a democratic revolution. A country is defended with more democracy, not more inefficient repression,” Petro wrote on X (formerly Twitter), in a rare public criticism of the Venezuelan leader.

Petro also called for a general amnesty for political opponents and reiterated his call for forming a broad transitional government to address Venezuela’s prolonged crisis.

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Since September, U.S. military forces have destroyed more than 20 vessels allegedly carrying drugs in Caribbean and Pacific waters near Venezuela and Colombia, resulting in over 80 deaths.
U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly warned that attacks “inside Venezuela” will begin “soon,” while Maduro has urged Venezuelans to prepare for what he describes as an impending external aggression.

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International

Cuba battles out-of-control dengue and chikungunya epidemic as death toll rises to 44

Cuba is facing a severe dengue and chikungunya epidemic that has already claimed at least 44 lives, including 29 minors, according to the Ministry of Public Health (Minsap). The outbreak—now considered out of control—has expanded across the entire country amid a critical shortage of resources to confront the emergency.

Authorities report more than 42,000 chikungunya infections and at least 26,000 dengue cases, though they acknowledge significant underreporting as many patients avoid seeking care in health centers where medicines, supplies, and medical personnel are scarce. The first cluster was detected in July in the city of Matanzas, but the government did not officially use the term “epidemic” until November 12.

Chikungunya—virtually unknown on the island until this year—causes high fever, rashes, fatigue, and severe joint pain that can last for months, leaving thousands temporarily incapacitated. Dengue, endemic to the region, triggers fever, muscle pain, vomiting, and, in severe cases, internal bleeding. Cuba currently has no vaccines available for either virus.

Minsap reports that of the 44 deaths recorded so far, 28 were caused by chikungunya and 16 by dengue.

The health crisis unfolds amid deep economic deterioration, marked by the absence of fumigation campaigns, uncollected garbage, and shortages of medical supplies—conditions that have fueled the spread of the Aedes aegypti mosquito, the primary vector for both diseases. “The healthcare system is overwhelmed,” non-official medical sources acknowledge.

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Beyond the health impact, the epidemic is heavily disrupting economic and family life. The intense joint pain caused by chikungunya has led to widespread work absences, while hospital overcrowding has forced relatives to leave their jobs to care for the sick. In November, authorities launched a clinical trial using the Cuban drug Jusvinza to reduce joint pain, though results have not yet been released.

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International

Ecuador on track for record violence as homicides hit highest level in Latin America again

Violence in Ecuador is expected to reach historic levels by the end of 2025, with the country set to record the highest homicide rate in Latin America for the third consecutive year, according to a report released Thursday by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED). The organization warns that criminal activity is not only persisting but could worsen in 2026.

Official figures show 7,553 homicides recorded through October, surpassing the 7,063 registered throughout all of 2024. ACLED estimates that 71% of the population was exposed to violent incidents this year, despite President Daniel Noboa’s declaration of an “internal armed conflict” in an attempt to confront powerful criminal groups.

According to the report, several factors are driving the deterioration of security: a territorial war between Los Chonerosand Los Lobos, the two most influential criminal organizations in the country; the fragmentation of other groups after the fall of their leaders; and Ecuador’s expanding role as a strategic hub for regional drug trafficking.

Since 2021, violence has forced the internal displacement of around 132,000 people, while more than 400,000 Ecuadorians — equivalent to 2% of the population — have left the country. Between January and November alone, violent deaths rose 42%, fueled by prison massacres and clashes between rival gangs.

The report warns that conditions may deteriorate further. Ecuador has been added to ACLED’s 2026 Conflict Watchlist, which highlights regions at risk of escalating violence. The expansion of Colombian armed groups such as FARC dissidents and the ELN, state weakness, and a potential rerouting of drug trafficking corridors from the Caribbean to the Pacific intensify the threat.

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“The president is facing a wave of violence that shows no signs of easing,” the report concludes.

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