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La Niña may return in september, but global temperatures expected to stay above average

The La Niña climate phenomenon could reemerge starting in September, but temperatures are expected to remain above average, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), a UN agency, reported.

Since March 2025, neutral conditions—neither indicating an El Niño nor a La Niña event—have persisted, with sea surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific remaining close to average, according to the WMO.

“However, in the coming months, possibly starting from September 2025, these conditions may gradually evolve to be consistent with a La Niña episode,” the organization stated in its El Niño/La Niña bulletin.

According to the latest forecasts from the WMO’s Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Forecasts, for the period from September to November, there is a 55% chance that equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures will drop to the threshold for La Niña.

Subsequently, for the period from October to December 2025, the probability of La Niña occurring rises to 60%.

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“Nevertheless, despite the temporary cooling effect caused by La Niña, temperatures are expected to remain above average in much of the world,” the WMO added.

From September to November, temperatures are projected to remain above normal across most of the Northern Hemisphere and much of the Southern Hemisphere, the UN agency said.

Rainfall patterns are expected to follow those typically observed during a moderate La Niña event.

A La Niña episode involves large-scale cooling of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific surface waters, as well as other alterations in tropical atmospheric circulation, including changes in winds, pressure, and precipitation, the WMO explained.

Generally, La Niña produces climatic effects opposite to those of El Niño, especially in tropical regions.

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Internacionales

Juan Orlando Hernández’s family takes time to decide next steps after surprise U.S. release

Ana García, the wife of former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández, who was pardoned on Monday by U.S. President Donald Trump after being sentenced in 2024 to 45 years in prison on drug trafficking and firearms charges, told EFE on Wednesday that the family has not yet decided whether he will return to Honduras.

“We have not made any decision about that yet. Everything is still very recent, and as a family we are going to take the time to reflect carefully and make wise decisions thinking about the well-being of Juan Orlando, our children, and all our families,” García said at her residence in Tegucigalpa.

García wore around her neck her husband’s wedding ring, which she has kept since Hernández was held at a special police detention facility known as the ‘Cobras’ on the day of his arrest, February 15, 2022.

“We are still deciding many things. He has just been released, it has not even been 48 hours since he got out. So we are taking things calmly,” she reiterated.

She also explained that since she does not have a U.S. visa — revoked after her husband was requested for extradition following the end of his presidency in January 2022 — she has not been able to see him, but said she is “awaiting some form of communication from the United States” in order to do so.

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García declined to reveal where in the United States her husband is currently located, although she stressed that she is confident she will have an opportunity to reunite with him.

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Internacionales

One killed, 188 evacuated as wind-driven blaze rips through Kyushu neighborhood

One person died and 188 residents were evacuated after a massive fire swept through at least 170 buildings in a residential area on the island of Kyushu, southern Japan, authorities reported on Wednesday.

The regional government confirmed one fatality. Public broadcaster NHK reported that police, who had been searching for a missing 76-year-old man, found a body inside his home.

Footage recorded on Tuesday night showed firefighters spraying water on towering flames engulfing homes, while residents were escorted to an improvised evacuation center.

“The flames rose so high they turned the sky red. The wind was strong. I never imagined it would spread so far,” a man told NHK.

“I was shaking with fear. I had never seen a column of fire like that,” another witness said.

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The fire broke out late Tuesday, with at least 170 buildings affected. According to NHK, the blaze spread rapidly, likely fueled by a lack of rainfall, dry air, and the tightly packed wooden houses characteristic of the area.

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Internacionales

Indonesia’s Mount Semeru erupts, sends ash 13 km high and forces evacuations

Mount Semeru, located in eastern Java and about 310 kilometers west of the popular tourist destination of Bali, erupted at 07:13 GMT, spewing pyroclastic flows, according to Indonesia’s geological agency chief, Muhamad Wafid.

“The public is advised to refrain from any activity within an 8-kilometer radius of the crater or summit of Mount Semeru due to the risk of falling volcanic rocks,” the official said in a statement. The national disaster management agency reported that the ash column rose as high as 13 kilometers.

Agency spokesperson Abdul Muhari added that at least 300 residents living near the volcano were evacuated to two temporary shelters. No casualties have been reported so far.

The geological agency also noted that seismic activity at Mount Semeru remains high.

Authorities at Bali’s Ngurah Rai Airport stated that flights are operating normally for the time being.

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A previous eruption of Semeru in 2021 killed more than 50 people, damaged over 5,000 homes, and forced nearly 10,000 residents to seek refuge.

Indonesia is home to nearly 130 active volcanoes.

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